I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. DFS Golf News. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro Tee times in this area. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Who are you taking? Riley Hamel. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Two prop bets Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Skip to navigation. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Riley Hamel. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Now were getting a little bold. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Then it just comes down to the putter. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Here are your options. Skip to navigation. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. American Express: Brian Harman. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Arnold Palmer Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. 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